People in the mainstream media have started to become bearish of gold. Perhaps it is because of the almost 1 year downtrend in its price? Media is notorious for noticing trends nearer their turning points than nearer their onset. I believe Gold may be a current example of this and actually be setting up a bullish signal versus a bearish one.
The chart below shows the price of gold over the last two years, including the seeming bull flag/triangle that is currently in formation.
Gold chart link
I see major support in the $1530 area, which once again today held. This support zone allows a potentially good trading opportunity in gold. With support just 2% below, a low risk higher reward buy opportunity may be presenting itself. A purchase of gold here with a stop at $1520 (aggressive traders) or at $1470 (longer term traders) could be a good play as I am seeing bullish signs in the chart (in addition to the contrarian buy signal set by the media).
Besides the positive longer term divergence and solid support, a bullish flag/triangle looks to be forming with the red and black trendlines helping show points of recognition. A break above the red downsloping line and then the black resistance line (notice the parallelism with the other black support line) would help solidify the bullish case. A move beyond the recent high ($1900) would be a likely a target of such a breakout.
If all of this comes to fruition then it likely would mean a rally in equities as well, given the high correlations between gold and the equity markets.
Good Luck!
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