The price action supports it, but the volume did not pick up on the breakdown as expected, and the general market is still in an uptrend which could act as a sort of buoy for the stock, at least temporarily. Also, on a linear scale (almost all my charts are done on a log scale) the price is sitting right on the lower ascending triangle trendline support; so it hasn't broken thru it yet. So maybe give LEN a few more days.
On the positive side, the RSI and MACD both have negative patterns suggesting a short may be a decent play here. I also really like that longer term trendline that came into play in May.
A stop should be placed above the upper triangle trend line for conservative players. A tighter stop may be placed above the lower ascending triangle (inside the triangle) as price should not intrude back into that zone. Also, a good stop guide could be that longer term trendline acting as resistance thruout all of May.
The link is to the live annotated chart (you may have to have a stockcharts.com account to see all my markings).

Finished down 6% by end of day with possible confirmation. A backtest of the longer term downtrend resistance line would be nice. Clicking on this blog's title will take you to the live annotated chart.
ReplyDeleteToday it is up 6% possibly starting the backtest process...will give it a few days before I act.
ReplyDeleteUp day in the market, down day in this stock, think I will act. First target $7.50, but will follow volume closely to make sure it is picking up along with the decline. Stop loss currently above $10.
ReplyDeleteBought on the 11th and closed on the 24th for a slight gain. The triangle broke down, but the move was pretty sloppy and slow without the volume I was looking for. Also, a few of the downtrend lines broke up on me giving me a close signal.
ReplyDelete